Applied Macroeconomics Research Papers - Academia.edu

Applied Macroeconomics Research Papers - Academia.edu
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Applied Macroeconomics
Applied Macroeconomics
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Applied Macroeconomics is the branch of economics that utilizes macroeconomic theories and models to analyze real-world economic issues and inform policy decisions. It focuses on practical applications of macroeconomic principles to understand economic growth, inflation, unemployment, and fiscal and monetary policies in various contexts.
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Applied Macroeconomics is the branch of economics that utilizes macroeconomic theories and models to analyze real-world economic issues and inform policy decisions. It focuses on practical applications of macroeconomic principles to understand economic growth, inflation, unemployment, and fiscal and monetary policies in various contexts.
Key research themes
1. How does gender equality influence macroeconomic growth and policy effectiveness?
This research area explores the macroeconomic implications of gender equality, particularly examining how disparities in education, labor force participation, and employment between men and women affect long-run economic growth, labor productivity, and the transmission of macroeconomic policies. Understanding gendered effects enriches macroeconomic models and informs policy interventions aimed at inclusive growth.
Engendering Macroeconomic Theory and Policy
by
Stephanie Seguino
2024, Feminist Economics
Key finding: The paper systematically links greater gender equality—especially in education and labor force participation—to higher average educational attainment and more efficient labor allocation, which cumulatively stimulate long-run...
Key finding: The paper systematically links greater gender equality—especially in education and labor force participation—to higher average educational attainment and more efficient labor allocation, which cumulatively stimulate long-run per capita growth. It identifies pathways including lowered fertility rates, increased female bargaining power for child investments, and expanded labor productivity at the aggregate level. Importantly, it highlights that aggregate demand constraints may limit the absorption of increased female labor supply, implicating full employment and demand-stimulating policies as necessary complements. The study also advances the discourse by noting that traditional monetary and exchange rate policies have differential gender employment effects that remain under-explored, calling for integrating gender into macroeconomic policy tools.
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2. What insights do laboratory experiments provide about the microfoundations and policy transmission mechanisms in macroeconomic models?
This theme covers empirical investigations using controlled laboratory experiments to test the assumptions and mechanisms embedded in macroeconomic models, particularly around individual decision-making, expectations formation, market interactions, and policy impacts. The experimental approach supplements traditional empirical methods by validating micro-level foundations and resolving equilibrium selection issues inherent in macroeconomic frameworks.
1. Macroeconomics: A Survey of Laboratory Research
by
John Duffy
2023, Princeton University Press eBooks
Key finding: The survey demonstrates that laboratory experiments can test key microfoundations underpinning macroeconomic models, such as intertemporal consumption/savings decisions, time consistency of preferences, and rational...
Key finding: The survey demonstrates that laboratory experiments can test key microfoundations underpinning macroeconomic models, such as intertemporal consumption/savings decisions, time consistency of preferences, and rational expectations. Experiments provide insight into coordination problems among economic agents, equilibrium selection in multiple equilibria environments, and policy effectiveness beyond what observational data reveal. Key findings include validation of forward-looking expectations dynamics, evaluation of monetary and fiscal policy impacts under controlled settings, and the capacity of experiments to bridge micro and macro levels, reinforcing the representativeness assumptions often implicit in macroeconomic modeling.
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3. How can macroeconometric models be tailored to analyze policy and structural economic changes in resource-dependent economies?
This line of research develops comprehensive macroeconometric models integrating sectoral, energy, environmental, fiscal, and labor market variables to simulate policy impacts and long-term structural changes in resource-rich economies. Such models facilitate scenario analysis relevant to strategic national initiatives, enabling policymakers to quantify trade-offs, assess diversification strategies, and understand interlinkages between resource sectors and the broader economy.
A Macroeconometric Model for Saudi Arabia
by
Jeyhun (Ceyhun) Mikayilov
2024, Springer eBooks
Key finding: The paper introduces KGEMM, a detailed macroeconometric model incorporating nine interlinked blocks (real, fiscal, monetary, external sector, prices, labor, energy, CO2 emissions, demographics) designed to capture Saudi...
Key finding: The paper introduces KGEMM, a detailed macroeconometric model incorporating nine interlinked blocks (real, fiscal, monetary, external sector, prices, labor, energy, CO2 emissions, demographics) designed to capture Saudi Arabia's economic structure with emphasis on resource dependency and economic diversification goals. It uniquely integrates input-output tables within its framework for sectoral analysis and employs advanced econometric methods for parameter estimation. The model can simulate the economic, energy, and environmental impacts of policy initiatives under Saudi Vision 2030, providing vital insights into the transformation of a resource-based economy towards greater private sector and non-oil activity participation.
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Related Topics
Financial development
Applied Econometrics
Development Macroeconomics
Monetary Economics
History of Economics
Macroeconomics
Open Economy Macroeconomics
Macro Finance
Economics
Econometrics
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Understanding the Macroeconomic Policy Mix: From Tinbergen to the New Keynesian Framework A Pedagogical Introduction to Modern Macroeconomic Policy Analysis
by
LHADJ KACEM Younes
2026, Understanding the Macroeconomic Policy Mix: From Tinbergen to the New Keynesian Framework A Pedagogical Introduction to Modern Macroeconomic Policy Analysis
This pedagogical paper provides a structured introduction to the theoretical foundations of the macroeconomic policy mix, tracing its evolution from Tinbergen's theory of economic policy to the modern New Keynesian framework. The...
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This pedagogical paper provides a structured introduction to the theoretical foundations of the macroeconomic policy mix, tracing its evolution from Tinbergen's theory of economic policy to the modern New Keynesian framework. The objective is not to contribute to current policy debates, but rather to offer a coherent teaching-oriented synthesis of the conceptual building blocks underpinning modern macroeconomic stabilization analysis. The paper presents, in a cumulative way, the logic of policy objectives and instruments, the assignment problem, open-economy constraints, expectations and credibility, and the core architecture of New Keynesian stabilization models. For each framework, emphasis is placed on intuition, formal structure, assumptions, and economic interpretation. The article is designed as a pedagogical support for graduate teaching, literature review preparation, and introductory research training in macroeconomic policy.
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Pengaruh Harga, Kualitas, Kemasan, Brand Image & Pendapatan Terhadap Keputusan Pembelian Beras Bulog SPHP di Pasar Kangkung Kota Bandar Lampung
by
Fahmiati Zahra
2026, Global Research and Innovation Journal (GREAT)
Penelitian ini bertujuan menganalisis pengaruh harga, kualitas produk, kemasan, brand image, dan pendapatan terhadap keputusan pembelian beras BULOG SPHP di Pasar Kangkung, Kota Bandar Lampung. Latar belakang penelitian didasarkan pada...
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Penelitian ini bertujuan menganalisis pengaruh harga, kualitas produk, kemasan, brand image, dan pendapatan terhadap keputusan pembelian beras BULOG SPHP di Pasar Kangkung, Kota Bandar Lampung. Latar belakang penelitian didasarkan pada fluktuasi harga beras yang tinggi sepanjang tahun 2025 di Provinsi Lampung serta disparitas harga signifikan antara beras premium dan beras subsidi SPHP, yang menyebabkan peralihan konsumen ke produk BULOG. Penelitian menggunakan pendekatan kuantitatif dengan metode survei. Populasi penelitian adalah seluruh konsumen beras BULOG SPHP di Pasar Kangkung. Sampel sebanyak 100 responden ditentukan dengan rumus Cochran. Data primer dikumpulkan melalui kuesioner dan dianalisis menggunakan regresi linier berganda dengan bantuan SPSS. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa secara parsial harga, kualitas produk, kemasan, brand image, serta pendapatan berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap keputusan pembelian. Secara simultan, kelima variabel tersebut juga berpengaruh signifikan (F = 34,792; sig. = 0,001) dengan nilai Adjusted R Square sebesar 0,649. Artinya, 64,9% variasi keputusan pembelian dapat dijelaskan oleh kelima variabel independen, sedangkan sisanya dipengaruhi variabel lain di luar penelitian.
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Economic Globalisation and Decent Work In Nigeria
by
OZIENGBE AIGHEYISI
2026, DBN Journal of Economics and Sustainable Growth
The study examines the effect of economic globalisation on decent work in Nigeria during the period from 1990 to 2023. The autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) approach to cointegration analysis is adopted to examine the effects of...
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The study examines the effect of economic globalisation on decent work in Nigeria during the period from 1990 to 2023. The autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) approach to cointegration analysis is adopted to examine the effects of various elements of economic globalization namely non-oil exports, imports, FDI, interest rate and exchange rate on decent work, while controlling for the effect of financial depth. The study finds positive and significant long run effects of non-oil export, exchange rate, and financial depth on decent work in the country. The long run effects of imports, FDI, and lending interest rate were found to be negative and significant. These findings which are robust to alternative estimation technique reveal that decent work in the country is affected by globalization. Based on the evidence, to achieve creation of decent work in the country, greater investment in the nation’s non-oil sectors to boost the quantity, quality and competitiveness of her non-oil output is recommended. Further recommendations are the establishment of more export processing zones to encourage exports; lowering of the lending interest rate to reduce the cost of loans or investment capital; maintaining the exchange rate at realistically competitive level to curb imports and boost export; maintaining high labour standards to ensure that jobs created by multinational corporations through which FDI inflows into a country are decent.
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Digital Inclusion, Financial Inclusion and Inclusive Growth in Nigeria
by
OZIENGBE AIGHEYISI
2026, DBN Journal of Economics and Sustainable Growth
The paper examines the relationships among digital inclusion, financial inclusion and inclusive growth in Nigeria. In doing this, the ARDL bounds testing approach to analysis of short-run and long run relationships is employed to...
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The paper examines the relationships among digital inclusion, financial inclusion and inclusive growth in Nigeria. In doing this, the ARDL bounds testing approach to analysis of short-run and long run relationships is employed to investigate the effect of digital inclusion on inclusive growth in Nigeria using annual time series data spanning the 1993-2023 period. The Toda-Yamamoto approach to Granger causality test is employed to investigate the causal relationship between financial inclusion and inclusive growth in the country using annual time series data spanning the 2007-2023 period. Empirical evidence from the bounds test indicates that digital inclusion significantly promotes inclusive growth in the country, while the evidence from the causality test indicates that financial inclusion causes inclusive growth uni-directionally (with no evidence of a feedback). The analysis also reveals that inflation and currency depreciation adversely affect inclusive growth in the country. Based on the evidence, the paper recommends efforts by the government to implement policies and programmes aimed at improving digital and financial inclusion, and reducing inflation and the nominal exchange rate to levels favourable to inclusive growth.
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Pengolahan Pempek dengan Bahan Tepung Tulang Ikan Gabus
by
Anisa Hazimah
2026, Politeknik Pariwisata Palembang
Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengembangkan produk pempek dengan memanfaatkan tepung tulang ikan gabus sebagai bahan substitusi, sekaligus meningkatkan nilai guna limbah hasil perikanan yang kaya akan kalsium dan nutrisi. Latar belakang...
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Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengembangkan produk pempek dengan memanfaatkan tepung tulang ikan gabus sebagai bahan substitusi, sekaligus meningkatkan nilai guna limbah hasil perikanan yang kaya akan kalsium dan nutrisi. Latar belakang penelitian ini didasari oleh tingginya minat masyarakat terhadap makanan tradisional, khususnya pempek, serta masih rendahnya pemanfaatan limbah tulang ikan yang berpotensi mencemari lingkungan. Metode penelitian yang digunakan meliputi proses pembuatan pempek dengan variasi formulasi tepung tulang ikan gabus, serta pengujian produk melalui uji organoleptik (uji hedonik) yang mencakup aspek rasa, aroma, warna, dan tekstur. Penelitian dilaksanakan di Laboratorium Kitchen Program Studi Seni Kuliner Politeknik Pariwisata Palembang pada periode Februari hingga Maret 2026. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa tepung tulang ikan gabus dapat digunakan sebagai bahan alternatif dalam pembuatan pempek dengan tetap mempertahankan karakteristik sensori yang dapat diterima oleh konsumen. Selain itu, penggunaan tepung tulang ikan gabus juga berpotensi meningkatkan kandungan gizi, terutama kalsium, pada produk pempek. Kesimpulan dari penelitian ini adalah bahwa pemanfaatan tepung tulang ikan gabus tidak hanya memberikan inovasi pada produk kuliner tradisional, tetapi juga menjadi solusi dalam pengolahan limbah perikanan yang bernilai tambah dan ramah lingkungan. Kata Kunci: pempek, tepung tulang ikan gabus, pengembangan produk, uji hedonik, limbah perikanan.
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The Impact of Sudanese Customs on Economic Growth: An Analytical Study using Error Correction Models (1980-2020)
by
Akram Abd Eldaiem Mohammed
2026, مجلة دفاتر أقتصادية
Customs play an important role in Sudan's economy since their establishment. They represent a significant source of revenue and protect the national economy from smuggling. They also implement protection policies to support investments...
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Customs play an important role in Sudan's economy since their establishment. They represent
a significant source of revenue and protect the national economy from smuggling. They also
implement protection policies to support investments and emerging industries, and enforce laws
such as drug and pharmacy laws. This study aimed to highlight the role of customs in various
aspects of life, such as their impact on economic, social, and political factors, with a focus on their
role in revenue generation. This study addresses the problem of the relationship between customs
duties and economic growth in Sudan, which is one of the important economic issues that concern
Sudanese society. The methodology used in this study is the analysis of annual data from 1980 to
2020 using error correction models. The study assumed a significant statistical relationship between
customs revenue and economic growth measured by GDP. The study also showed that the impact of
customs duties on the economy varies in the short and long term. The study recommends supporting
customs, reviewing planning policies, and reviewing investment policies.
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Efisiensi Produksi Usahatani Padi Sawah Lebak di Kabupaten Ogan Ilir Sumatera Selatan
by
Komala Sari
2026
Hidayati et al, 2019. Efficiency of Rice Waste Rice Production Factors in Ogan Ilir District, South Sumatera. pp. 249-259. The Province of South Sumatra has produced rice from four typologies, namely: irrigated rice fields, rain fed,...
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Hidayati et al, 2019. Efficiency of Rice Waste Rice Production Factors in Ogan Ilir District, South Sumatera. pp. 249-259. The Province of South Sumatra has produced rice from four typologies, namely: irrigated rice fields, rain fed, tidal and non-receding tidal swamps (lebak). The development of agriculture in swamps faces obstacles both in the biophysics of land and water, pre-harvest and post-harvest handling as well as socio-economic. However, it must be admitted that the development of tidal land and lebak land is increasingly important to support national rice production. The right allocation of production factors is an important factor in increasing rice production, including land, seeds, labor, fertilizers, and pesticides. Therefore, to increase farmers' production and income, it is necessary to study what factors influence the production of lebak paddy rice farming and evaluate the performance of farmers in rice cultivation so that the level of efficiency of the use of ...
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Post Keynesian Endogeneity of Money Supply: Panel Evidence
by
Dr Mahyudin Ahmad
2026, RePEc: Research Papers in Economics
Post Keynesian economics is actually macroeconomics in a world of uncertainty and endogenous money. Post Keynesians posit that money supply in a market oriented production economy is endogenous or endogenously determined (rather than...
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Post Keynesian economics is actually macroeconomics in a world of uncertainty and endogenous money. Post Keynesians posit that money supply in a market oriented production economy is endogenous or endogenously determined (rather than exogenous as claimed by Monetarists). Money supply is said to be endogenous if it is determined within the economic system itself. The present paper investigates this theory using a panel dataset of 177 countries from year 1970-2011 utilising dynamic panel data analysis and has found that money supply is endogenous as proposed by Post Keynesian theorists.
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Post Keynesian Endogeneity of Money Supply: Panel Evidence
by
Dr Mahyudin Ahmad
2026, Procedia. Economics and finance
Post Keynesian economics is actually macroeconomics in a world of uncertainty and endogenous money. Post Keynesians posit that money supply in a market oriented production economy is endogenous or endogenously determined (rather than...
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Post Keynesian economics is actually macroeconomics in a world of uncertainty and endogenous money. Post Keynesians posit that money supply in a market oriented production economy is endogenous or endogenously determined (rather than exogenous as claimed by Monetarists). Money supply is said to be endogenous if it is determined within the economic system itself. The present paper investigates this theory using a panel dataset of 177 countries from year 1970-2011 utilising dynamic panel data analysis and has found that money supply is endogenous as proposed by Post Keynesian theorists.
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Post Keynesian Endogeneity of Money Supply: Panel Evidence
by
Dr Mahyudin Ahmad
2026, Procedia. Economics and finance
Post Keynesian economics is actually macroeconomics in a world of uncertainty and endogenous money. Post Keynesians posit that money supply in a market oriented production economy is endogenous or endogenously determined (rather than...
more
Post Keynesian economics is actually macroeconomics in a world of uncertainty and endogenous money. Post Keynesians posit that money supply in a market oriented production economy is endogenous or endogenously determined (rather than exogenous as claimed by Monetarists). Money supply is said to be endogenous if it is determined within the economic system itself. The present paper investigates this theory using a panel dataset of 177 countries from year 1970-2011 utilising dynamic panel data analysis and has found that money supply is endogenous as proposed by Post Keynesian theorists.
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Economic Analysis Of The Determinants Of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) In Nigeria
by
Oluwagbenga Emmanuel Adebayo
2026
The study examined the factors that determine Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in Nigeria. It assessed the extent to which exchange rate, interest rate, degree of trade openness affects foreign direct investment inflow to Nigeria. The...
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The study examined the factors that determine Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in Nigeria. It assessed the extent to which exchange rate, interest rate, degree of trade openness affects foreign direct investment inflow to Nigeria. The study used data from Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) Bulletin and World Bank (1981-2017). The results were interpreted based on the Ordinary Least Square (OLS) method, apart from series of test statistics and some diagnostics on data was performed. The estimated linear regression model reveals that the degree of openness positively and significantly affect FDI. Exchange rate has a positive but non-significant relationship with FDI and interest rate has a negative relationship with FDI, but it is not statistically significant. The study therefore recommends that economic policies that allow free trade should be formulated since macroeconomic policies are important in stabilization, enhance standard growth and improvements in the standard of living as a result of improved and higher productivity.
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Causal Closure Economics: A Variational Framework for Capital Allocation, Structural Coherence, and Economic Dynamics
by
Timothy F . West
2026
Conventional economic theory provides sophisticated tools for analyzing prices, incentives, growth, and equilibrium, yet it does not provide a general scalar principle for measuring whether the evolving distribution of capital is becoming...
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Conventional economic theory provides sophisticated tools for analyzing prices, incentives, growth, and equilibrium, yet it does not provide a general scalar principle for measuring whether the evolving distribution of capital is becoming more or less structurally coherent relative to the causal organization of the real economy. Physical and engineered systems are often studied through scalar quantities-energy, entropy, Lyapunov functions-that summarize whether system evolution is moving toward or away from admissible configurations. This paper proposes an analogous framework for economics, called Causal Closure Economics (CCE), in which capital allocation is evaluated relative to a closure functional defined over capital, information, and structure. Closure is defined as a scalar measure of the degree to which actual capital allocation fails to align with structurally feasible economic opportunity as inferred from available information. The framework distinguishes three primary state variables. The first is the capitalallocation field, describing the distribution of deployed capital across an economically meaningful domain. The second is the informational field, treated explicitly as a vector of heterogeneous observables-prices, utilization, expectations, and risk indicators-rather than a single aggregated signal. The third is the structural field, describing the physical, institutional, regulatory, and logistical substrate that governs where capital can be productively absorbed. A fourth object, the mobility operator, governs the kinetics of reallocation and encodes frictional constraints on capital movement. Closure is constructed as a mismatch functional measuring the degree to which capital deployment diverges from a structurally feasible target implied by information and constrained by absorptive capacity. The framework introduces capital-priority signals via variational derivatives of closure, interprets reallocation dynamics as a mobility-weighted descent process at the mesoscale, and develops timing structures based on gradient density and event intensities. It further provides explicit empirical predictions, identification strategies, and falsification criteria. CCE is not proposed as a replacement for existing economic theory, but as a variational, systems-level overlay that enables measurement of structural coherence in capital allocation. Its validity rests on whether closure gradients and associated signals demonstrate empirical predictive power in structure-heavy domains.
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MONETARY POLICY TRANSMISSION MECHANISM ON REAL SECTORS IN NIGERIA full work
by
Nosa Frank Osazuwa
2026
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The Impact of Exchange Rates and Inflation on Agricultural Output: Compelling Evidence from Nigeria
by
Soil Studies
2026, Asian Journal of Economics, Finance and Management
Nigeria's agricultural subsectors are highly sensitive to macroeconomic instability, yet there is limited research examining how exchange rate fluctuations and inflation affect each subsector individually. This study examined the effects...
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Nigeria's agricultural subsectors are highly sensitive to macroeconomic instability, yet there is limited research examining how exchange rate fluctuations and inflation affect each subsector individually. This study examined the effects of exchange rate and inflation on agricultural output in Nigeria between 1981 and 2022. The data for the study were obtained from the Central Bank of Nigeria Statistical Bulletin (2022) and analyzed using the Fully Modified Ordinary Least Squares (FMOLS) estimation. Empirical results revealed that inflation had a direct and statistically significant effect on crop, livestock, and fishery output. Specifically, a 1 percent increase in consumer prices raises crop output by 6 percent, livestock output by 9 percent, and fishery output by 6 percent, while its effect on forestry output was insignificant. The result also shows that a 10 percent increase Original Research Article
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Macroeconomic Determinants of Stock Market Volatility in Oil-Dependent Economies: Evidence from Iran
by
LAWAL RIDWAN
2026, LAWAL RIDWAN
Stock market volatility in oil-dependent economies is strongly influenced by macroeconomic conditions and global commodity price movements. This study examines the macroeconomic determinants of stock market volatility in Iran, an economy...
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Stock market volatility in oil-dependent economies is strongly influenced by macroeconomic conditions and global commodity price movements. This study examines the macroeconomic determinants of stock market volatility in Iran, an economy that relies heavily on oil revenues. Key macroeconomic variables such as oil prices, inflation, exchange rates, interest rates, and economic growth are analyzed to understand their influence on the performance of the Tehran Stock Exchange. The findings indicate that fluctuations in oil prices and macroeconomic instability significantly affect stock market volatility in Iran. Understanding these relationships is important for investors and policymakers seeking to improve financial market stability.
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Determinación del impacto socioeconómico de las políticas de inclusión financiera en el municipio de Montería
by
Revista Clío América
2026, Clío América, Vol. 13 No. 26 de 2019, https://doi.org/10.21676/23897848.3577
El presente artículo tiene como propósito central, determinar cuál es el impacto de las políticas de inclusión financiera en la ciudad de Montería. De allí, la importancia de hacer una exposición de los factores que vienen incidiendo en...
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El presente artículo tiene como propósito central, determinar cuál es el impacto de las políticas de inclusión financiera en la ciudad de Montería. De allí, la importancia de hacer una exposición de los factores que vienen incidiendo en el cumplimiento de estas políticas en el municipio de Montería. La metodología de esta investigación empírica, hace énfasis, en un trabajo decampo que privilegió las fuentes de tipo primaria, con apoyo estadístico, mediante un análisis de tipo correlacional (regresión lineal simple). Los resultados proporcionan evidencia empírica, de que los sectores poblacionales de menores ingresos en Montería  tienen  menores  posibilidades de acceso al  campo financiero,  debido  a  que  no  poseen  garantías  suficientes  para cumplir con el pago de dichos créditos; en ese sentido, se requiere mayor inclusión financiera hacia los hogares de los sectores populares en dicho municipio. A partir de estos hallazgos, se concluye, que una mayor inclusión financiera para el municipio de Montería será favorable para el desarrollo de más acciones emprendedoras que activen la economía local y con los que se logre obtener mayores niveles de bienestar en la población monteriana.
The  main  purpose  of  this  article  is  to  determine  what  is  the impact  of  financial  inclusion policies  in  the  city  of  Monteria(Colombia). Hence;the importance of exposing the factors that have been influencing compliance with these policies in the municipality of Monteria. The methodology of this empirical research emphasizes a field work that favored the application of primary sources, with statistical support, through a correlational analysis (simple linear regression), in order to identify which are the variables of greater incidence for the financial inclusion of the population of popular strata in Monteria. Theresults provide empirical evidence that the lower-income population sectors in Monteria have less possibilities of financial access, because they do not have sufficient guarantees to meet the payment of said credits; in this sense, greater financial inclusion is required towards the homes of the popular sectors in said municipality. Based on these findings, it is concluded that a greater financial inclusion for the municipality of Monteria will favor the development of more entrepreneurial actions that activate the local economy and achieve higher levels of well-being in the Monteriana population.
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Causal link between Export, Import, Remittance and Economic Growth in Bangladesh
by
Farzana Yesmin
2026, Asian Journal of Economics and Finance
Given the importance of the economic indicators on the economic growth in Bangladesh, this paper examines the short run and long run causality between remittance, imports, exports and GDP growth of Bangladesh using the data over the...
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Given the importance of the economic indicators on the economic growth in Bangladesh, this paper examines the short run and long run causality between remittance, imports, exports and GDP growth of Bangladesh using the data over the liberalized period 19762016. Applying the Johansen cointegration and elasticity concept, this study finds that variables are cointegrated as well a long run nexus between exports, imports, remittances and GDP growth in Bangladesh. Besides, the Granger Causality test in a VECM (Vector Error Correction Model) framework, this study finds unidirectional causality from import to growth in Bangladesh. The hardly surprising result, remittance does not show any feedback effect/causality in both the short run and long run. The possible interpretation may be that remittances mainly benefit the individual receivers. The finding also explores that exports, imports and remittances endorse each other in the short run.
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DEBT OVERHANG AND DUAL GAP PERSPECTIVE ON HUMAN DEVELOPMENT IN WEST AFRICA: INSIGHTS FROM THE GHANAIAN AND NIGERIAN ECONOMIES
by
Edom Edom
2026, Calabar Journal of Finance and Banking
This study focused on the influence of debt overhang and dual gap theory on human development in West Africa. To enhance its efficacy and promote human development in Ghana and Nigeria, it aimed to assess the significance of the external...
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This study focused on the influence of debt overhang and dual gap theory on human development in West Africa. To enhance its efficacy and promote human development in Ghana and Nigeria, it aimed to assess the significance of the external debt burden and propose solutions. Employing an ex-post facto research design, several macroeconomic and human development variables were utilized to achieve the study's objectives. Two ECOWAS countries were selected to constitute the study's population and sample size. The data were aggregated, analyzed, and tested using countryspecific descriptive statistics and ARDL analysis procedures. The analysis revealed that the foreign debt burden had a significant, though negative, impact on Ghana's human development index, while the external debt service payment to gross domestic product was not significant. Furthermore, the external debt service payment to gross domestic product and external debt burden both non-significantly and adversely affected the human development index in Nigeria. This suggests that education, health, and per capita income-all components of the Human Development Index (HDI)-decline as the share of revenue allocated to debt servicing increases. This also occurs as additional debts are incurred, especially beyond the capacity of most West African Monetary Zone member economies. Based on these findings, the study recommended that to reduce Ghana's reliance on external debt funding, the country's economy should consider the external debt thresholds while formulating its external debt management policy. To address the resulting fiscal imbalance, domestically generated revenue-especially tax revenue-should be revitalized and increased to significantly minimize tax evasion and avoidance. The Nigerian government should also seek loans with favorable terms and conditions following a thorough assessment rather than solely based on need, to reduce the cost of debt and alleviate the negative effects of external debt and associated payment obligations. A robust capital market will lower the borrowing rate from external sources.
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ECONOMY-WIDE EFFECTS OF MONETARY POLICY SHOCKS: EVIDENCE FROM PAKISTAN
by
Muhammad Nisar
2026
Monetary policy plays an effective role in affecting output, employment, prices, interest rate and exchange rate. The goal of a sustainable economic growth and employment is attainable only if the prices in an economy are stable because...
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Monetary policy plays an effective role in affecting output, employment, prices, interest rate and exchange rate. The goal of a sustainable economic growth and employment is attainable only if the prices in an economy are stable because stable prices lead to an efficient allocation of resources and also encourage households to save more and investors to invest more, thus contributes in capital formation by minimizing the risk of erosion of assets value.There isa wide range of transmission channels through whichmonetary policy affects the macroeconomic indicators. Keeping in view the financial crisis of 2008 and considering the exchange rate channel, this paper is an attempt to assessthe effects of monetary policy shocks on major macroeconomic variables.Vector Autoregressive model is used in this study to trace out the effects of monetary policy shocks on output, prices and exchange rate. Our findings show that monetary policy shockstransmit into inflation and exchange rate thus affects output in the long run.
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A Cross-Regional Analysis of the Institution and Macroeconomics Determinants of Systemic Risk using Delta CoVaR: Evidence from BRICS and Eurozone Economies
by
charles raoul Tchuinkam-Djemo
2026, Review of development finance
his study explores cross-regional interconnectedness, potential spillover effects, and the channels through which systemic riskis transmitted across financial institutions and macroeconomic factors in BRICS and Eurozone economies from...
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his study explores cross-regional interconnectedness, potential spillover effects, and the channels through which systemic riskis transmitted across financial institutions and macroeconomic factors in BRICS and Eurozone economies from 2005 to 2021.The aim is to deepen the understanding of systemic risk at a cross-regional level, highlight the pivotal role of institutions inshaping the broader systemic risk landscape, and uncover potential discrepancies arising from the differing economic structures,financial institutions, and macroeconomic policy frameworks of the BRICS and Eurozone regions. Using panel regression analysis and the Delta-CoVaR approach, this study models monthly data on selected systemic risk determinants for BRICS and Eurozone economies from 2005 to 2021. Our findings reveal that larger institutions in the Eurozone heighten the interconnectedness of systemic risk, triggering chain reactions that attract close regulatory scrutiny. Furthermore, Eurozone nations exhibit heightened systemic risk, exacerbated by the rapid transmission of financial turmoil. In the BRICS economies, accelerated growth rates attract substantial foreign investment, further intensifying systemic risk in their commodity-dependent markets. Policy recommendations from this study suggest that for a stronger risk management strategy, decision-makers should consider the pivotal roles played by financial institutions and macroeconomic variables in spreading systemic risk within the BRICS and Eurozone regions.
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Impact of Monetary Policy on Fishery for Economic Growth of Nigeria
by
Kehinde Oladipo
2026
This study examined the impact of monetary policy on fishery growth in Nigeria economy. It adopted the error correction model (ECM) techniques to analyze the times series data. The result of the ECM confirms the existence of long-run...
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This study examined the impact of monetary policy on fishery growth in Nigeria economy. It adopted the error correction model (ECM) techniques to analyze the times series data. The result of the ECM confirms the existence of long-run equilibrium between the dependent and independent variables. Available information reveals policy instability and duplication of programs and projects under different policies. Analysis also shows fluctuation of fishery output over the years. The AugmentedDickey Filler (ADF) test indicates stationarity one-difference lagged length, except inflation rate. The study shows that long run relationship exists among the variables. The core finding of this study shows that money supply and interest rate are significant monetary policy instruments that drive the growth in Nigeria. It is consequently recommended that the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) should introduce more monetary instruments that are flexible enough to meet the ever-growing financial sector in o...
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Dampak Pandemi COVID-19 Terhadap Pendapatan Petani Karet DI Desa Ambawang Kecamatan Batu Ampar
by
Daniel Itta
2026, Jurnal Sylva Scienteae
The rubber plant (Hevea bransiliensis) is one of the plants that has a high enough economic value so that it can meet the living needs of most Indonesian people, but a virus was detected from Wuhan, China which then entered Indonesia in...
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The rubber plant (Hevea bransiliensis) is one of the plants that has a high enough economic value so that it can meet the living needs of most Indonesian people, but a virus was detected from Wuhan, China which then entered Indonesia in March 2020, which was identified as Covid-19. Pandemi of Covid-19 has an impact on various sectors in Indonesia, one of them is the economic sector. Ambawang village was the first village detected the Covid-19 virus in Tanah Laut Regency, thus causing little impact on the village. The purpose of this study is to compare farmers' income from rubber productivity before and during the Covid-19 pandemic. The method used is proportional stratified random sampling it uses 3 classes in the study and obtained a total sample of 165 as respondents. Data analysis used a statistical approach, namely the paired T-test. The results of this study indicate the average cost of each class in Ambawang village, namely for class 1 the average cost of rubber farmers is Rp.619,952, for class 2, which is Rp.1,275,124, while for class 3, it is Rp.4,356,986. Of the three classes in this study, after a parametric test using the Paired T-test showed that the Covid-19 pandemic has a significated impact on the income of rubber farmers.
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HOW DOES THE TRANSPORTATION FUEL PRICE ASYMMETRY INFLUENCE DEMAND FOR GOODS AND SERVICES IN NIGERIA
by
Dr Bilyaminu Tijjani
2026
Transportation fuel price asymmetry has profound implications for the demand for goods and services in Nigeria. This phenomenon arises when fuel price increases are passed on more rapidly and significantly to transportation and production...
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Transportation fuel price asymmetry has profound implications for the demand for goods and services in Nigeria. This phenomenon arises when fuel price increases are passed on more rapidly and significantly to transportation and production costs than decreases. It leads to heightened inflationary pressures, disrupting market equilibrium and weakening consumer purchasing power. As transportation costs rise disproportionately, essential goods and services face reduced affordability, while non-essential goods experience diminished demand. This asymmetry particularly impacts sectors reliant on transportation, including agriculture and manufacturing, which suffer increased costs and reduced competitiveness. Additionally, rural areas, often more dependent on transported goods, bear a heavier burden, exacerbating regional inequalities. This abstract explores the economic, social, and policy dimensions of transportation fuel price asymmetry in Nigeria, offering recommendations to mitigate its effects and stabilize demand.
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Fiscal and External Deficits Nexus in GIIPS Countries: Evidence from Parametric and Nonparametric Causality Tests
by
Ahmad Hassan
2026, International Advances in Economic Research
This paper investigates the relationship between fiscal and external deficits in five European Union countries (Greece, Ireland, Italy, Portugal, and Spain) using quarterly data for the period 1980:1–2020:1. Literature on the relationship...
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This paper investigates the relationship between fiscal and external deficits in five European Union countries (Greece, Ireland, Italy, Portugal, and Spain) using quarterly data for the period 1980:1–2020:1. Literature on the relationship between these series used linear techniques, but generally reported inconclusive results. Nonlinearity has been overlooked even though fiscal policy is likely to exhibit nonlinearity due to its sensitivity to political decisions. To capture this nonlinearity behaviour, nonlinear causality techniques are applied here in addition to the usual linear techniques used in the extant literature. The results show that there is evidence of unidirectional nonlinear causality from trade balances to government deficits in Greece and Italy, and a nonlinear unidirectional causality from government deficits to trade balance in Portugal. The results also indicate evidence of a nonlinear bi-directional causality between the trade and government balances in Ireland ...
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Macroeconomic Shocks, Trade Coverage Rates, and Budgetary Effects in Turkey
by
LAWAL RIDWAN
2026, PELUMI
Macroeconomic shocks, including fluctuations in global demand, commodity prices, and exchange rates, have significant implications for Turkey's trade coverage rates and fiscal outcomes. Deviations in export-to-import coverage ratios...
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Macroeconomic shocks, including fluctuations in global demand, commodity prices, and exchange rates, have significant implications for Turkey's trade coverage rates and fiscal outcomes. Deviations in export-to-import coverage ratios affect government revenues, expenditures, and debt sustainability. This article examines the interaction between macroeconomic shocks, trade coverage rates, and budgetary effects in Turkey, highlighting structural vulnerabilities and policy considerations for enhancing fiscal resilience.
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The Party is Over: Origin and Causes of the Housing Crisis
by
Arturo Guillén
2026
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Macroeconomic Updates, Banking Sector Reforms, and Structural Resilience in EU Economies
by
SAM REED
2026, samuel
In the aftermath of successive economic and financial disruptions, structural resilience has emerged as a central objective of economic policy in the European Union (EU). Recent macroeconomic updates-spanning fiscal recalibration,...
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In the aftermath of successive economic and financial disruptions, structural resilience has emerged as a central objective of economic policy in the European Union (EU). Recent macroeconomic updates-spanning fiscal recalibration, monetary tightening, and inflation management-combined with comprehensive banking sector reforms have reshaped the capacity of EU economies to absorb shocks and adapt structurally. This article examines how macroeconomic policy adjustments and banking sector reforms jointly contribute to structural resilience across EU member states. The analysis shows that strengthened financial institutions and adaptive macroeconomic frameworks have enhanced resilience and facilitated structural adjustment, although outcomes remain uneven across the Union.
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RESEÑA DE LIBROS
by
Alejandro Fiorito
2026, Revista de Economía Política y Desarrollo
El reciente libro de Antonella Stirati 3 , Fondamenti di Macroeconomia. Elementi di Base. de Editorial Giappichelli, procura llenar un vacío en la enseñanza universitaria de la macroeconomía, la cual suele estar dominada por el enfoque...
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El reciente libro de Antonella Stirati 3
, Fondamenti di Macroeconomia. Elementi di Base. de Editorial Giappichelli, procura llenar un vacío en la enseñanza universitaria de la macroeconomía, la cual suele estar dominada por el enfoque convencional, en general, y por la síntesis neoclásico-keynesiana, en parti-
cular. A casi 90 años de las contribuciones fundamentales de John Maynard Keynes y Michael Kalecki al principio de la demanda efectiva4, numerosos manuales de macroeconomía utilizados en la formación de
economistas aún pasan por alto su papel como determinante central de la producción y siguen tratando la distribución del ingreso como un simple fenómeno de mercado, resultado de la interacción de curvas
de oferta y la demanda de factores.
Esta reseña analiza la estructura y tesis centrales del libro, destacando su valor pedagógico y su capacidad para sintetizar las grandes controversias de la disciplina desde una perspectiva de Economía Política. El
texto teje una narrativa coherente sobre la dialéctica entre las visiones que caracterizan a la economía capitalista como sistema autorregulado con tendencia al pleno empleo de factores y aquellas que subrayan
la necesidad de la intervención estatal para la consecución de la plena ocupación.
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Yield Compression and Macroeconomic Drivers in Dubai Residential Market (2021-2025)
by
Jose Aurelio Fiorio Weberhofer
2026, Zenodo (Working Paper)
This paper examines the dynamics of yield compression in the Dubai residential real estate market between 2021 and 2025, focusing on the interaction between rental yields, property prices, and macroeconomic variables. Using...
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This paper examines the dynamics of yield compression in the Dubai residential real estate market between 2021 and 2025, focusing on the interaction between rental yields, property prices, and macroeconomic variables. Using regression-based empirical analysis, the study evaluates the extent to which observed yield compression is driven by changes in average sales prices per square meter and interest rate conditions, proxied by the EIBOR 1-year rate.
The results indicate statistically significant yield compression over the sample period, primarily driven by rapid capital value appreciation rather than rental growth. The findings suggest that yield dynamics in Dubai during this period reflect capital-driven investment behavior and heightened sensitivity to global monetary conditions.
This research contributes to the literature on real estate finance, emerging market property cycles, and macro-financial transmission mechanisms by providing empirical evidence from a high-growth, globally integrated residential real estate market.
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Analisis Pembakaran Dan Pemanasan Pada Kompor Biji Jarak Dengan Berbagai Diameter Dan Jumlah
by
edward saleh
2026
Theobjective of this research was to analyze burning and heating on the stove ofjatropha-seeds with various of diameters and sarangan holes, in order to achieve the higher efficiency of the stoveof jatropha-seeds.  Thisresearch has been...
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Theobjective of this research was to analyze burning and heating on the stove ofjatropha-seeds with various of diameters and sarangan holes, in order to achieve the higher efficiency of the stoveof jatropha-seeds.  Thisresearch has been conducted in the machinery and workshop laboratory of TheAgricultural Engineering Program, The Agricultural Technology Department,Agriculture Faculty, Sriwijaya University, Indralaya from April 2011 to October2011.  Themethod which is used in this research is block randomized design factorialmethod which consist of two treatment factors and each treatment factor consistof two stages and each treatment combination is repeated three times. The firsttreatment with two stages is the diameter of the sarangan holes (3 mm and 4mm), the second treatment with two stages is the amount of the sarangan holesper cm2 (2 pieces/cm2 and 4 pieces/cm2).  The parameter observed include the mainparameters and the supporting parameter. The main parameter is the fuel...
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Karakteristik pengeringan pisang kepok berdasarkan ketebalan irisan dan proses bolak balik pada pembuatan pisang sale
by
devi tanggasari
2026, Jurnal Agrotek Ummat
One of processed bananas that has a long shelf life is banana fritter. Banana fritter is made by slicing bananas in various thicknesses and then drying them. Drying intends to reduce or eliminate the water content in bananas. This study...
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One of processed bananas that has a long shelf life is banana fritter. Banana fritter is made by slicing bananas in various thicknesses and then drying them. Drying intends to reduce or eliminate the water content in bananas. This study aims to determine the drying characteristics of kepok bananas based on the thickness of the slices and the back and forth process in making banana fritter. The design used in this study was a completely randomized design (CRD) with two types of thickness, namely 1 cm (K1) and 1.5 cm (K2) cm and there were once (B1) and twice (B2) alternating process treatments respectively in a day. Research data were analyzed using SPSS. The results showed that the degree of thickness (K) significantly affected the mass change of bananas during drying (P value = 0.0001), and the alternating process of bananas (B) did not affect the mass change of bananas during drying (P value = 0.532), while the combination between treatment B and K did not have a significant effec...
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OC Winter 2025 2026 p.20 21 The US Economic ‘K’
by
Otaviano Canuto
2026, Capital Finance International
The U.S. economy has been described as exhibiting a K-shaped trajectory, with wealth gains for the top of the income pyramid resulting from the overvaluation of stocks, accompanied by real-wage and purchasing-power squeezes at the bottom.
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ECONOMIC NEOLIBERALISM OF THE 1990S AND THE CONTEMPORARY CONCEPT OF INTERVENTIONIST TECHNOLOGICAL INDUSTRY DEVELOPMENT POLICY IN POLAND
by
Dariusz Prokopowicz
2026, Preprint RG
The systemic and economic transformation in Poland, which began in the 1990s on the basis of neoliberalism, aimed at the effective commercialisation and privatisation of state-owned enterprises. The economy of the 1990s was...
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The systemic and economic transformation in Poland, which began in the 1990s on the basis of neoliberalism, aimed at the effective commercialisation and privatisation of state-owned enterprises. The economy of the 1990s was macroeconomically unstable, with hyperinflation, high interest rates, recession and the collapse of state-owned companies. After Poland joined the European Union in 2004, the economy underwent a thorough reconstruction, stabilising with low unemployment, a strong banking sector and new technologies in production. The last decades have also seen an increase in the role of interventionism in fiscal and monetary policy, including the implementation of active anti-crisis measures, which have laid the foundation for the development of innovation and the industrial technology sector in Poland.
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Macroeconomic Determinants of Food Security in Ghana
by
Juabin Matey
2026, Indian Journal of Economics and Financial Issues
Hunger remains a persistent development challenge in sub-Saharan Africa, and Ghana is no exception despite decades of policy interventions and economic growth. This study investigates the macroeconomic determinants of food security in...
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Hunger remains a persistent development challenge in sub-Saharan Africa, and Ghana is no exception despite decades of policy interventions and economic growth. This study investigates the macroeconomic determinants of food security in Ghana over the period 2001-2022, focusing on the roles of public agricultural employment, agricultural expenditure, and food inflation. Using ordinary least squares regression with a robust standard error, the study addresses potential heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation, ensuring robust inference. The results show that increased government spending on agriculture significantly reduces hunger rates, supporting the view that targeted investments in rural productivity and infrastructure are critical for sustainable food security. In contrast, a higher share of employment in agriculture is associated with increased hunger, highlighting the structural weakness of low-productivity in subsistence farming and emphasising the need for rural economic transformation. Additionally, food inflation exerts a significant positive effect on hunger, demonstrating how rising food prices erode household purchasing power and worsen food insecurity. These findings align with the Structural Transformation Theory and recent empirical evidence. The study recommends scaling up effective agricultural investments, modernizing the agricultural workforce to enhance productivity, and implementing stronger food price stabilization measures to accelerate progress toward achieving Zero Hunger in Ghana.
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