NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center

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Archived: 2026-04-23 15:20

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An Enhanced Risk of Severe Thunderstorms is Forecast Today and/or Tonight
Severe thunderstorms are expected to develop this afternoon and evening from the southern and central Plains into the lower to mid Missouri Valley, and upper Mississippi Valley. Tornadoes, large hail and severe wind gusts will be possible.
For additional details, see the latest
Day 1 Convective Outlook
.
Critical
fire weather conditions are forecast today. See
details
...
Overview
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Thu (04/23)
Fri (04/24)
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Mon (04/27)
Tue (04/28)
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Thu (04/30)
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Fire
Severe Weather Climatology (1994-2024)
Any Severe Probabilities: 23
Apr
Sig Severe Probabilities: 23
Apr
Tornado Probabilities: 23
Apr
Damaging Wind Probabilities: 23
Apr
Severe Hail Probabilities: 23
Apr
Significant Tornado Probabilities: 23
Apr
Significant Wind Probabilities: 23
Apr
Significant Hail Probabilities: 23
Apr
More climatology data
here
.
2026 Tornado Watch Summary
Page last modified: April 23 2026 12:27 UTC
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What's My Risk?
La tormenta factor de riesgo.
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2026 Severe Thunderstorm Watch Summary
Page last modified: April 23 2026 12:27 UTC
Wildfire Climatology (1992-2020)
100 Acres Wildfire Probabilities: 23
Apr
300 Acres Wildfire Probabilities: 23
Apr
1000 Acres Wildfire Probabilities: 23
Apr
5000 Acres Wildfire Probabilities: 23
Apr
More climatology data
here
.
Latest SPC Publications
Lyons, A. D., R. L. Thompson, B. T. Smith, H. G. Weinman, and A. R. Dean, 2026:
Convective Mode Classification and Distribution of Contiguous U.S. Tornado Events from 2003 to 2023
. Published in
Wea. Forecasting
. [19600 PDF]
Harrison, D.R., A. McGovern, C.D. Karstens, A. Bostrom, I.L. Jirak, and P.T. Marsh, 2025:
Leveraging Coproduction to Bridge Research and Operations in Operational Meteorology
. Published in
Wea. Forecasting
. [6601K PDF]
Harrison, D.R., A. McGovern, C.D. Karstens, A. Bostrom, I.L. Jirak, and P.T. Marsh, 2025:
An Assessment of How Domain Experts Evaluate Machine Learning in Operational Meteorology
. Published in
Wea. Forecasting
. [16916K PDF]
Squitieri, B.J., A.R. Wade, and I.L. Jirak, 2025:
On a Modified Definition of a Derecho. Part II: An Updated Spatial Climatology of Derechos across the Contiguous United States
. Published in
Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc.
. [3250K PDF]
Squitieri, B.J., A.R. Wade, and I.L. Jirak, 2025:
On a Modified Definition of a Derecho. Part I: Construction of the Definition and Quantitative Criteria for Identifying Future Derechos over the Contiguous United States
. Published in
Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc.
. [5585K PDF]
Moore, A., 2024:
Investigating the Near-Surface Wind Fields of Downbursts Using a Series of High-Resolution Idealized Simulations
. Published in
Wea. Forecasting
. [6768K PDF]
Edwards, R., and R.L. Thompson, 2024:
Right-Moving Supercell Tornadogenesis during Interaction with a Left-Moving Supercell's Rear-Flank Outflow
. Published in
Wea. Forecasting
. [15153K PDF] (
supplemental radar loop, standard enhancements
[27170K MP4]), (
supplemental radar loop, colorblind enhancements
[33950K MP4])
Squitieri, B.J., A.R. Wade, and I.L. Jirak, 2023:
A Historical Overview on the Science of Derechos. Part II: Parent Storm Structure, Environmental Conditions, and History of Numerical Forecasts
. Published in
Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc.
. [10595K PDF]
Squitieri, B.J., A.R. Wade, and I.L. Jirak, 2023:
A Historical Overview on the Science of Derechos. Part I: Identification, Climatology, and Societal Impacts
. Published in
Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc.
. [6899K PDF]
Thompson, R.L., 2023:
A Comparison of Right-Moving Supercell and Quasi-Linear Convective System Tornadoes in the Contiguous United States 2003-21
. Published in
Wea. Forecasting
. [4539K PDF]
Find more research articles at the
SPC publication archive
.
Latest SPC Case Archive
Apr 22, 2026
Tornado: 3
Wind: 57
Hail: 18
X Posts by NWSSPC
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Page last modified: April 23 2026 05:12 UTC
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