Please refer to the published version when citing:
Cohen, S.A., Higham, J., Gössling, S., Peeters, P. & Eijgelaar, E. (2016). Finding
effective pathways to sustainable mobility: Bridging the science-policy gap. Journal
of Sustainable Tourism, 24(3: 317-‐334.
http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/09669582.2015.1136637.
Finding effective pathways to sustainable mobility: Bridging the science-policy
gap
Abstract
This overview paper examines three areas crucial to understanding why, despite clear
scientific evidence for the growing environmental impacts of tourism transport, there
is large-scale inertia in structural transitions and a lack of political will to enact
meaningful sustainable mobility policies. These include the importance of addressing
socio-technical factors, barriers posed by ‘technology myths’ and the need to
overcome ‘transport taboos’ in policymaking. The paper seeks pathways to
sustainable mobility by bridging the science – policy gap between academic research
and researchers, and policymakers and practitioners. It introduces key papers
presented at the Freiburg 2014 workshop, covering the case for researcher
engagement using advocacy and participatory approaches, the role of universities in
creating their own social mobility policies, the power of social mechanisms
encouraging long-haul travel, issues in consumer responsibility development, industry
self regulation and the operation of realpolitik decision making and implementation
inside formal and informal destination based mobility partnerships. Overall, the paper
argues that governments and the tourism and transport industries must take a more
cautious approach to the technological optimism that fosters policy inertia, and that
policymakers must take a more open approach to implementing sustainable transport
policies. A research agenda for desirable transport futures is suggested.
Keywords: climate change, socio-technical factors, technology myths, transport
taboos, desirable futures
Introduction
Demand is increasing for all transport modes. The transport sector, including tourism
and all other transport motivations, is growing more rapidly than most other sectors
and is currently responsible for approximately 23% of global energy-related CO2
emissions (Creutzig et al., 2015). Because of the sector’s rising contributions to
climate change, considerable effort has recently been invested by researchers to try to
understand if people are willing to voluntarily change their tourism and transport
behaviour (e.g. Becken, 2007; Higham, Cohen, Cavaliere, Reis & Finkler, 2016;
Kroesen, 2013; Miller, Rathouse, Scarles, Holmes & Tribe, 2010). The weight of
evidence clearly shows that, while awareness of the impact of mobility on climate
1
change, and particularly that of air travel, is growing, there has been little if any actual
behavioural change by tourists to travel less or to change travel modes (Higham,
Cohen, Peeters & Gössling, 2013). This realisation has been captured in numerous
publications evidencing or attempting to explain an awareness-attitude or attitude-
behaviour gap (e.g. Antimova, Nawijn & Peeters, 2012; Cohen, Higham & Reis,
2013; Hares, Dickinson & Wilkes, 2010; Juvan & Dolnicar, 2014). Meanwhile, calls
were sounding that the very concept of voluntary behaviour change itself was trapped
within the constraints of neoliberalism (Barr, Gilg & Shaw, 2011; Schwanen, Banister
& Anable, 2011). These calls urged the academy to pay closer attention to the
political, social and material systems in which consumption practices are structured,
arguing that the ‘carbon capability’ (Whitmarsh, Seyfang & O’Neill, 2011) of the
public is limited by the ‘systems of provision’ (Hall, 2013), which create what
Schwanen et al. (2011) refer to as ‘path dependencies’.
A turn towards path dependencies does not suggest that attempts to achieve public
behavioural change should be abandoned. Rather it emphasises that devolving the
problem of tourism and transport’s impacts on climate change to individuals is a
limited framing. In addition to social marketing efforts aimed downstream at effecting
behavioural change in publics (see Hall, 2016, this issue), and a continued drive by
industry towards marginal efficiency gains available in aviation technologies
(Cumpsty et al., 2010; Peeters & Middel, 2007), it is imperative that research focuses
on how the radical socio-technical transitions that are necessary to put the tourism and
transport sectors on a sustainable emissions path can be achieved. Technical solutions
alone will be too little and too late (Chèze, Chevallier & Gastineau, 2013; Peeters,
Higham, Kutzner, Cohen & Gössling, under review). This includes not only a
recognition that the present socio-technical landscape is dominated by neoliberal,
techno-centric and ecological modernisation values (Hopkins & Higham, 2012; Hall,
2013), but also the need for a concerted effort by tourism and transport researchers to
become active advocates of pathways to structural change, influence policy learning
and provide politicians with tools to simulate policymaking and its effects.
The Freiburg 2014 workshop
The Freiburg 2014 workshop, held in Freiburg im Breisgau in Germany (1–4 July
2014), sought to address the inability of policymakers and other stakeholders to
change the tourism mobility system towards sustainable development. Its objectives
stemmed directly from the Freiburg 2012 workshop, the results of which were
disseminated in the Journal of Sustainable Tourism (volume 21, issue 7; see Higham
et al., 2013) and in an edited book (Cohen, Higham, Peeters & Gössling, 2014).
A key outcome from Freiburg 2012 was the conclusion that the public are generally
unwilling or unable to change tourism and transport behaviour based on an awareness
of environmental impacts, and specifically climate change. It was concluded that “the
autonomy of individual pro-environmental response, when set within the systems of
provision in late-capitalist consumer society, is fraught with challenge” (Higham et
al., 2013, p. 14) and that the “low sustainability of the current tourism system is
embedded in structures that make it easy and often cheaper to travel
2
unsustainably…raising a wide range of questions regarding transport infrastructures,
taxation, management and governance” (Cohen et al. 2014, p. 301). This conclusion
illustrated the need to move beyond voluntary behavioural change in order to achieve
sustainable mobility, and to explore the socio-technical landscapes in which
individuals are embedded, through which public behaviour is conditioned and
patterned.
A further crucial conclusion from Freiburg 2012 was that policymakers had shown
limited interest in adopting policy measures that would achieve significant changes in
sustainable transport behaviour. This lack of political initiative, wherein it was clear
that politicians have far more links to industry than to science, and particularly to the
social sciences, suggested that the reasons behind the inaction in transport governance
needed to be urgently and critically explored. Overall, it was evident that while a
comprehensive understanding of the psychologies of tourism and transport
consumption is necessary to inform policymakers, this alone would not be enough to
bring the sectors onto a climatically sustainable pathway, and that radical transitions
in the systems of provision and deeper understandings of political psychologies is
needed (Cohen et al., 2014; Hall, 2013; Higham et al., 2013).
These insights formed the basis for the Freiburg 2014 workshop, which expanded its
discussions to focus on public behaviour change, but also on how to change the
behaviour of policymakers, industry stakeholders, and researchers themselves, to help
achieve changes in tourism and transport systems for environmental reasons. Central
to this endeavour was the question of how to bridge the science-policy gap: it was
abundantly clear that despite the substantial and expanding body of research on
tourism and climate change (Hall et al., 2015), and on transport and climate change
(Schwanen, et al., 2011), this corpus of knowledge was having little to no effect in
practice on governance.
The Freiburg 2014 workshop is the basis for this special issue presenting ten papers,
including this overview paper, exploring the dimensions and details of the science-
policy gap in sustainable mobility. Having established the context in which the
workshop was set, and before introducing the papers in this special issue, we now
discuss three essential themes that are vital to understanding why, despite clear
scientific evidence as to the growing environmental impacts of tourism transport, and
particularly air travel, there is large-scale inertia in structural transitions and a lack of
political willpower to enact meaningful policy change: 1) the importance of
addressing socio-technical factors, 2) the barriers posed by placing faith in
‘technology myths’ and 3) the need to overcome ‘transport taboos’ in policymaking.
The paper concludes by setting a research agenda that forms the basis for the
forthcoming Freiburg 2016 workshop (28th June-1st July, 2016).
Socio-technical factors
Current growth trajectories indicate that transport emissions will double by 2050: the
global fleet of light-duty vehicles is expected to double during that time period, and
“demand for freight transport (road, rail, shipping, and air) and passenger aviation is
3
projected to surge as well” (Creutzig, Jochem, Edelenbosch, Mattauch, van Vuuren,
McCollum & Minx, 2015, p. 911). Air travel in particular offers an example of
largely intractable public travel behaviours that are entrenched in Europe and North
America and being rapidly adopted in the emerging regions of the world (Freire-
Medeiros & Name, 2013; Higham, Cohen & Cavaliere, 2014). The development of
low-cost, high-volume aviation, initially in Europe and North America, and latterly in
Brazil, Russia, India and China, is now powering similar air travel growth trajectories
in the emerging neoliberal economies of Mexico, South Africa, Indonesia and Turkey
(Boeing, 2014). Growth in air travel over the last two decades has been rapid
(Gössling & Upham, 2009), and the current growth trajectory is projected to continue
at a rate of 3.3% per annum to 2030 (Hall, 2013).
Calls for tourism to move onto a sustainable emissions path (Becken, 2007) have been
especially challenged by growing demand for air travel. This growth has been driven
by significant structural changes in the transportation sector (Ryley, Davison, Bristow
& Pridmore, 2010). Neoliberalism has been embraced by the aviation industry
through airline deregulation, the deployment of frequent flyer loyalty programmes
and notably by the unrestrained growth of low cost carriers (LCCs) (Duval, 2013).
Network airlines offering full service and traditional routes have been drawn into
intense competition with LCCs, transforming the travel market through the uptake of
technology to substantially reduce labour costs (Holloway et al., 2009). The LCCs
have developed direct sales systems (i.e. internet booking systems), online check-in
and product itemisation (e.g., priority boarding, seat allocation, baggage allowances,
in-flight food and entertainment services) to de-personalise airport and air travel
experiences, while increasing aircraft utilisation and flight loadings, while reducing
fares (Casey, 2010; Boeing, 2014). The LCC business model includes operating with
a single aircraft type, providing a single-class product, serving secondary airports and
avoiding the costs of frequent flyer programmes (Boeing, 2014).
The consequential growth in demand for low-cost air travel is recognised as “one of
the biggest revolutions in tourism and travel since the package holiday’s arrival half a
century earlier” (Casey, 2010, p. 176). The success of the LCCs is reflected in the
increasingly ordinary nature of air travel in certain sections of some societies
(Randles & Mander, 2009a; Urry, 2010). New structures of air travel provision have
created flying as a highly accessible consumer product, shifting leisure travel into the
domain of everyday consumer capitalism (Young, Higham & Reis, 2014). Indeed the
extent to which these structures have shaped and influenced everyday consumer
practices has, in some cases, reached absurd proportions. Ben Schlappig - ‘the man
who flies around the world for free’ - is “…one of the biggest stars among an elite
group of obsessive flyers whose mission is to outwit the airlines” (Wofford, 2015, p.
3). Perfecting the art of ‘travel hacking’ – known among its members as ‘The Hobby’
- Schlappig seeks perfection in the art of non-stop air travel and consumer luxury that
is paid for by a “…gargantuan cache of frequent flier miles that grows only bigger by
the day” (Wofford, 2015, p. 5). Schlappig’s claim is to be ‘beating the airlines at their
own game’; through the gaming of frequent flyer programmes using techniques that
he shares with a half million strong following through the ‘FlyerTalk’ website.
4
The gaming of frequent flyer programmes offers an, albeit extreme, insight into
consumer air travel behaviour that is anchored in and enabled by the socio-technical
system. It forms part of a wider pattern of increasing affordability and uptake of air
travel across an expanding range of social classes and societies (Randles & Mander,
2009b). It is this growth in demand for air travel that contributes significantly to
driving up tourism transport emissions (Gössling & Peeters, 2015). With current and
projected growth in aviation emissions has come recognition that the freedom to
engage in unrestrained air travel comes with significant environmental costs (IPCC,
2013). While the environmental costs of air travel are now widely understood and
accepted by the travelling public, the necessary responses in terms of consumer
demand have not followed (Gössling, 2009; Higham, Cohen, Peeters & Gössling,
2013).
It is ironic that the increasingly aeromobile middle classes can be the same people
who claim to be environmentally aware and moral consumers (Young, Higham &
Reis, 2014; Dolnicar, Juvan, Ring & Leisch, 2016). Within the context of air travel
the ‘flyers’ dilemma’ describes the tension between the self-identity of consumers
who feel moral responsibility for their consumer decisions, and the high
environmental costs of flying (Rosenthal, 2010; Higham, Cohen & Cavaliere, 2014).
The anxieties arising from the ‘flyers’ dilemma’ have been empirically examined in
various European societies (Higham, et al., 2016). Various studies have highlighted
that air travel practices are largely unconstrained because flying is a cheap,
convenient and socially-desirable form of leisure consumption (Cohen & Higham,
2011; Higham & Cohen, 2011).
It emerges that a focus on the demand-side of travel, in an attempt to address issues of
sustainability through behaviour change, should not ignore the fundamental socio-
structural factors that underpin the tourism system (Cornelissen, 2005). Young et al.
(2015) argue that the locus of responsibility is critical to debates around sustainable
aviation and sustainable mobility more broadly. Hall (2013, p. 1101) observes that
“mutual reinforcement between modes of governance and intervention… creates a
path dependency in which solutions to sustainable tourism mobility are only identified
within ‘green growth’ arguments for greater efficiency and market-based solutions”.
Hall (2013) argues that as long as the focus of government tourism policies remain
situated in a GDP growth paradigm, the structures of transport provision will remain
unchanged and the environment required to empower a consumer-led shift to a
sustainable transport emissions path will not exist.
Young et al. (2015) suggest that appealing to individuals to reduce or otherwise
moderate their tourist travel consumption practices is a flawed response. It lacks the
necessary government policy response to an industry that is environmentally
damaging. Appealing to consumer sacrifice ignores the fundamental socio-structural
underpinnings of an unsustainable travel industry. Young et al. (2015) critically
consider the social, institutional and economic forces that produce excessive and
unsustainable travel consumption. They highlight, first and foremost, that within the
existing structures of the aviation industry, currently no alternative options are
available to avoid the high environmental costs of air travel (Young et al., 2014). No
low-emission form of aviation exists to serve flyers who are concerned about climate
5
change and aviation emissions (Peeters & Middel, 2007), and neither is there any real
prospect of major gains in aviation fuel efficiency in the short-medium term future
(Peeters et al., under review).
While the airline industry has made significant gains in efficiency since the advent of
jet aviation (Peeters & Dubois, 2010), current technologies are locked in for periods
of time that reach well beyond the urgent timeframe required to achieve radical
emission reductions (Higham et al., 2016). Jet aviation is highly efficient in terms of
time/distance/cost thresholds (Howitt, Revol, Smith & Rodger, 2010), but those
energy efficiencies have been overwhelmed in real terms by growth in demand
(Peeters & Dubois, 2010), such that the environmental costs of air travel have become
unacceptably high (Gössling et al, 2010; Hall, 2013). The current structure of the
aviation industry, and the absence of further substantial technical gains in aircraft
efficiency (Scott, Peeters, & Gössling, 2010) are such that aviation emissions are
expected to double within a 25-45 year timeframe (Gössling & Peeters, 2015).
Despite growing sustainability concerns, aviation, like the automobile (Dennis &
Urry, 2009), has become an integral part of contemporary mobility in many societies
(Sheller & Urry, 2004; Urry, 2012). Flying now out-competes other transport modes
not only on convenience and time efficiency but - most critically - in terms of cost
(Casey, 2010). The time, cost and convenience advantages of air travel are structural
factors that explain the deeply embedded nature of air travel practices (Higham,
Cohen & Cavaliere, 2014). The aviation system allows the production of tourism (and
other forms of mobility) to be accelerated in terms of fit within the capitalist working
day, week and calendar year (Young et al., 2015). Given the fundamentally energy-
intensive nature of the tourism system (Becken, 2016), mitigating tourism transport
emissions has proved a very imposing challenge (Schwanen et al., 2011). Not least,
neither car nor rail nor even high-speed rail can match the cost, convenience, and
flexibility of response that air travel can, especially if sea crossings are involved.
It is also apparent that travellers, even those who are concerned about their personal
leisure travel emissions, are able to disregard their environmental concerns and take
advantage of cheap and convenient air travel opportunities (Higham et al., 2016;
Young et al., 2015). Even for those who are deeply concerned about climate change
(see Cohen & Higham, 2011; Higham & Cohen, 2011), the time and costs advantages
of air travel undermines the competitiveness of alternative, more sustainable transport
modes (Higham et al., 2014). The time/distance/cost dimensions of air travel have
also allowed the consumption of distant tourist destinations to fit within narrow
windows of time (e.g., the EasyJet generation of weekend ‘escape artists’). The act of
flying has become integral to significant parts of the contemporary tourism transport
system (Young et al., 2015).
As Young et al. (2014) observe, aviation has proven to be resistant to consumer-led
change, in contrast to other aspects of consumer behaviour, such as food purchases,
recycling, the use of public land transport and the conscious uptake of active transport
modes, which are relatively open to modification by individuals (Larson, 2010: Barr,
Shaw, Coles & Prillwitz, 2010). The intractability of air travel behaviour change
occurs not only because air travel has become a desirable and affordable gateway to
6
tourism in many societies (Casey, 2010), but because “…the environmental risks
associated with air travel are global and systemic, as opposed to specific and
individual, and tend not to be prioritized within a flyers’ environmental
consciousness” (Young et al., 2014, p. 60). As a result climate concerns may be
temporarily suspended with impunity so that consumers can continue to consume
leisure travel that involves flying (Watson, 2014).
The current structures of aviation provision foster the willingness of the public to
temporarily suspend their climate concerns when engaging in tourism practices (Barr
et al., 2010; Cohen, Higham, & Reis, 2013). The aviation industry facilitates a range
of spatio-temporal fixes (Young et al., 2014) that invite the consumer to offset their
aviation carbon emissions through various schemes (Gössling et al., 2007; Barr et al.,
2010). Offset schemes encourage concerned travellers to assume responsibility for a
profligate industry, by incurring an additional cost to mitigate the externalities of
aviation consumption (Young et al., 2014). In doing so offsetting “… actually plays
into the hands of an environmentally destructive industry by allowing it to legitimate
its practices while simultaneously absolving itself from responsibility for the
environmental destruction from which it profits” (Young et al., 2014, p. 52). This
absolution of individual responsibility is an important factor in the accelerating
aviation emissions problem (Creutzig et al., 2015). It relates closely to what Hall
(2013) refers to as ‘structures of provision’; the social and institutional structures that
underpin unsustainable consumption practices. Expecting the consumer to accept
responsibility and respond individually to unsustainable contemporary travel
mobilities, in the absence of meaningful industry and policy responses, has proven to
be futile (Higham et al., 2016).
Technology myths
A further vital reason why there is inertia in policy responses to growing aviation
emissions is the ongoing industry-led myth, perpetuated by the media and transport
policy-makers, that decarbonisation is in progress using radical technological
innovation. Gotesky (1952, p. 530) describes the function of a myth as to “preserve
institutions and institutional process.” A ‘myth’ is defined as an idea, story or
narrative believed by many people, including decision-makers, even though
unfounded or false. As Edelman (1998, p. 131) reminds us, “[p]olitical language can
evoke a set of mythic beliefs in subtle and powerful ways”. Misleading information
from the transport and tourism sectors is not new. Gössling and Peeters (2007, p.
402), found four major industry discourses: “air travel is energy efficient; air travel’s
share of total emissions is negligible; fuel use is constantly minimized and new
technology will solve the problem”. All four were deconstructed as being not
representative of reality. This section explores the existence and role of ‘technology
myths’ in the discourse of sustainable aviation.
Myths also play a role in other transport modes. Within automobility, for instance,
Volkswagen created a green myth around low emission diesel cars, even though this
was largely based on cheating regulations (Franco, Sánchez, German, & Mock, 2014).
So why concentrate on aviation within the domain of sustainable tourism? First
7
because the tourism sector is a central part of passenger aviation, although we cannot
be sure exactly how central it is: leisure travel is interlinked with business travel,
visiting friends and relatives and other visit motivations. The tourism sector
consequently needs to be seen as integral to air transport; the tourism industry cannot
be absolved of responsibility for aviation emissions more generally.
The second reason is that air transport, though a relatively small part of tourism in
terms of total trips (19% in 2010), represents a high share (52% in 2010) of tourism’s
global emissions, a share that is growing (62% in 2015), which means that aviation’s
emissions are increasing faster than those of accommodation, car and rail (Gössling &
Peeters, 2015). There is a large body of literature showing that future emissions of
aviation are growing fast and that this growth is inevitable given transport volume
growth projections (Mayor & Tol, 2010; Owen, Lee, & Lim, 2010; Peeters & Dubois,
2010; Sgouridis, Bonnefoy, & Hansman, 2010; Vorster, Ungerer, & Volschenk,
2012).
From a recent study (Peeters et al., under review) it was found that the aviation
industry creates ‘technology myths’ that may hamper political initiatives that would
enforce mitigation on the aviation sector. Industry commonly wields terms such as
‘efficiency’, ‘constantly minimized’ or ‘negligible shares’ as discursive devices to
perpetuate the myth that technological innovation will neutralise the problem of
aviation emissions. Technology myths were identified by Peeters et al. (under review)
for airframe design (laminar flow, composite structures and blended wing body),
engines/propulsion (solar flight, electric flight and propfan) and alternative fuels
(Jatropha, animal fats, hydrogen and micro-algae). For these ten technologies media
coverage in newspapers was measured over the past two decades and content
analysed.
Laminar flow and composite structures are widely applied already, with the newest
types of planes, like the Boeing B787 and Airbus A350, using, for instance,
composites in up to 50% of the construction by weight (Lee, 2010). But composite
structures allow for weight savings of between 14 and 25% (Raymer et al., 2011) for
the structure to which it is applied. So overall weight reduction of the Boeing B787
would be between 7 and 13%. The impact of this weight savings on fuel efficiency
depends on how the designer uses the gains, but it may translate in the end to an
approximate 5% fuel efficiency improvement (Peeters, 2000). This Boeing 787
example clearly shows the strength of myths: the impressive 50% share of new
materials is hyped in the media to a lay audience and impressed upon politicians, even
though composite structures only offer small and evolutionary efficiency
improvements, although coupled with improved engine design and materials, the
Boeing 787 and Airbus A350 can offer fuel savings of up to 25% per seat mile over
the 15-20 year old aircraft that they are replacing. The latter is an impressive figure,
but it also means that fares can be reduced, encouraging more people to travel.
Blended wing body aircraft have a long history of promises but have never emerged
and are unlikely to in the near to mid-term future, or even later. Solar flight has
recently attracted much attention. Basic physics tells us that it will never play a
serious transport role (Noth, 2008), but the ICAO (2014, p. 12) propagates discourses
8
suggesting that it could solve environmental problems: “the Solar Impulse
demonstrated that a solar-powered airplane can fly day and night without fuel”. Public
interest in electric flight has followed the same strong rise since the mid-2000s. The
main issue with electric flight is the requirement for high performance batteries.
Current lithium batteries have a power density that falls short of the requirements for
full electric flight by a factor of 100 (Kivits et al., 2010). This makes the anticipated
2035 realisation of electric flight (The Australian, 2/11/2012), extremely unlikely.
Of the four alternative fuels, Jatropha, animal fats and hydrogen were hyped by the
media between 2008 and 2011 but are now little mentioned, with significant interest
only in micro-algae. Still the sector widely cites alternative fuels as promising future
replacements for fossil fuels (Airbus, 2011; ATAG, 2011; Boeing, 2012; IATA, 2012;
ICAO, 2014; WTTC, 2009). Jatropha faces issues of high water use (Rosillo-Calle,
Thrän, Seiffert, & Teelucksingh, 2012) and adverse socio-economic impacts (Ariza-
Montobbio & Lele, 2010); animal fats face technical problems preventing them from
being mixed at higher than 20% shares with kerosene (Vera-Morales & Schäfer,
2009); hydrogen is an old but unresolved idea (Brewer, 1991); micro-algae suffer
from land-use issues, at least in the European region (Skarka, 2012), and water use,
low or negative lifecycle CO2 emission reductions (Quinn & Davis, 2014), cost and
more profitable alternative land uses (Coplin, 2012).
Policy-makers are required to make decisions that often have long-term effects and
are clouded in uncertainties. The quality of such decision-making for the transport
sector is significantly degraded by technology myths created by industry and
perpetuated through the media (Peeters et al., under review). Such myths foster
political inertia in the development of effective sustainable transport policy measures,
discouraging potentially difficult but necessary decisions (Peeters, Gössling, and
Lane, 2009).
Transport taboos
The final major theme we discuss in this section of paper is the notion of ‘taboo’
issues in tourism and transport policymaking. The question of why politicians have
not acted in more significant ways on climate change mitigation in these sectors, as
well as more generally, given that sound evidence of climate change was presented 25
years ago in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change 1st assessment report
(IPCC, 1990), is itself a relatively underexplored area of research. The adverse
consequences of climate change for ecosystems and humans have since been
confirmed and well documented (IPCC, 2014), and climate change is no longer
considered a future phenomenon but rather a current and on-going process, as, for
instance, recognized by reinsurers (Munich Re, 2014). As an outcome of the IPCC
reports, political consensus has been achieved to stabilise greenhouse gas emissions at
a level that will prevent global warming from exceeding 2°C compared to pre-
industrial temperatures, an objective confirmed during various Conferences of Parties
(COP; UNFCCC, 2014) and recently recognised at the landmark Paris Agreement
(Scott, 2016).
9
For the transport sector, responsible for about 25% of global emissions, the European
Commission has outlined emission reduction goals of -60% by 2050 compared to
1990, with an interim goal of -20% by 2030 compared to 2008 (EC, 2011). These
emission reductions are considered in line with the 2°C guardrail. Yet, while climate
policy objectives have been defined for the EU, and while these could also be defined
for any country based on national greenhouse gas inventories, there is limited
evidence of transport policies that would help to achieve such significant emission
reductions, and, controversially, the EC has even outlined that curbing mobility is not
considered a viable option (EC, 2011). In countries and regions outside Europe, and
specifically for international aviation as a significant sub-sector of tourism, transport-
related mitigation policies have thus remained insignificant (Gössling et al., 2013).
Yet, if energy-intense forms of mobility do not decline, it is highly unlikely that
absolute reductions in greenhouse gas emissions can be achieved (Anable et al., 2012;
Banister, 2008, 2011; Chapman, 2007; IEA, 2012; Schäfer et al., 2009; UNWTO-
UNEP-WMO, 2008). This has resulted in a situation where there are clear policy
goals, and a wide range of market-based, command-and-control and soft policy
measures available to achieve these goals (e.g. Friman et al., 2012; OECD and UNEP,
2011; Sterner, 2007), but a dearth of implementation, with evidence that only soft
policies focusing on voluntary behavioural change appear to be considered politically
viable to reduce emissions from transportation. This paradox has been described as an
‘implementation gap’ (Banister and Hickman, 2013, p. 292), and led to growing
academic interest in barriers to significant climate policy.
Various explanations have been provided to explain why governments have been
reluctant to implement policies. From a governance viewpoint, Rietveld et al. (2005)
have suggested that institutions rule and structure public and private actions, and that
these can be informal, formal, governance-, and resource allocation/employment
related. Informal institutions would comprise values, norms, practices, habits and
traditions, and are considered conditioners of behaviour (see Schwanen and Lucas
2011 in the context of automobility). Formal institutions include “codified statutes,
constitutions, provisions, laws, regulations, and high level administrative orders”
(Rietveld et al., 2005, p. 3). Governance institutions are a third type of institution
focused on rules, including laws, regulations and policy directives, such as planning
and zoning issues, or transactions involving actors and agents. Finally, resource
allocation refers to government agencies, firms and non-profit associations allocating
financial resources. These four categories can be used to identify and address barriers
from various viewpoints, including, for instance, the notion that transport planning
cannot be questioned, as transportation is important for society and economic growth.
This has, for instance, been discussed by Miciukiewicz and Vigar (2012) in terms of
technological fixation among transport researchers and subsequent technocentric
policy-making. In a similar vein, Hutton (2013), describes how the turn from meeting
predicted transport growth to managing transport demand has only recently been
considered in UK transport policy. Ultimately, ‘barriers’ thus often resemble
embedded beliefs of ecological modernisation, i.e. the assumption that transport
growth can be balanced environmentally, based on technological progress, as also
evident in UNEP’s (2011) Green Growth focus, which may be seen as another
10
ecological modernisation paradigm without real-world implications for emission
growth (Hall 2009; 2013; 2015).
New understandings of the reasons for inaction on climate change in transport
contexts are thus required: ‘barriers’ were discussed with regard to their cognitive and
affective dimensions during the Freiburg 2014 workshop, where they were framed as
‘taboos’ (Gössling & Cohen, 2014). Taboos are different from barriers of
implementation, because they cannot be addressed politically without considerable
(political) danger to the person taking up a given issue. To touch a taboo implies to
violate an existing norm, that is, a situation that is usually in the interest of powerful
individuals, (lobby) organisations, or the broader public or community. A ‘transport
taboo’ thus describes an issue that cannot be raised without risks, possibly
jeopardising the political future of any person raising the taboo. A wide range of
transport taboos that politicians are unwilling to touch has been identified, such as the
watering down of transport policy by lobbyism, the skewed share of transport
emissions contributed by higher income classes and the broader societal
glamorization of high-energy transport consumption (Cohen and Gössling 2015; for
further details on transport taboos see Gössling & Cohen, 2014).
Transport taboos are consequently issues that would appear obvious, as some
solutions are ready at hand, demanding political action; yet, they are characterised by
silence. A further example may be the 20 years of OECD reports recommending to
remove fossil fuel subsidies, and to introduce carbon pricing (1991; 1999; 2005;
2015). However, the issue remains politically untouched, because this would lead to
outrage by industry associations, who are powerful agents in public discourse. Yet,
overcoming taboos is essential if more sustainable tourism and transport policies are
to be implemented, specifically regarding climate change. At the very least, this
would require political parties to stop using public sentiment to undermine sustainable
transport policy initiatives by political opponents in order to gain votes on less
popular measures related to climate change mitigation.
The papers in this special issue
This special issue presents nine further papers that explore avenues for behaviour
change by various stakeholders in tourism and transport in order to bridge the science-
policy gap in sustainable mobility. The contributions cover a wide spectrum of
interests and stakeholders, and connect in various ways to the themes discussed
above, notably socio-technical factors and transport taboos.
The first three papers investigate the role of researchers in the sustainable mobility
debate, and their capacities and shortcomings to contribute to behaviour change. Hall
(2016) does this by employing social marketing themes. He questions both the
theoretical knowledge base of sustainable tourism and the positioning of sustainability
within the wider (tourism) literature, noting that, despite a growing body of research
on sustainable tourism and mobilities, concern about these topics in tourism research
is still minor, particularly in popular areas such as achieving growth in visitor
numbers and expenditure. Substantive change is not evident in most destinations, or
among organisations that have adopted sustainable tourism. As a way forward, Hall
11
discusses the need for more advocacy- and participatory-based approaches so that
scientists can better communicate with policymakers and work collaboratively/co-
productively with them and other upstream stakeholders.
Downstream and (more
activist and interventionist) upstream social marketing to the public, taking in the
lessons learned from other disciplines and debates (such as that on anti-smoking),
may (re)glamorise /make fashionable forms of more sustainable tourism or encourage
more conventional but low transport intensity local tourism.
Melissen & Koens (2016) echo Hall, arguing that researchers should not only focus
on understanding the structures behind tourist behaviour, but also on how to mobilise
policy and business stakeholders to contribute to the sustainable development of
tourism. They find several factors or tensions (Jones, Jones & Walsh, 2008) hindering
researcher behaviour change towards bridging the science-policy gap in sustainable
tourism mobility, and make a case for adding researchers’ behaviour to the
corresponding research agenda. Researchers may need to position themselves closer
to the policy arena, without politicising science or moving from engaged to activist
research.
Mounting sustainable tourism and transport advocacy will also lead to more attention
to the environmental sustainability imperatives of researchers themselves, and the
institutions for which they work. Thus the paper by Hopkins, Higham, Tapp and
Duncan (2016) in this issue links to the transport taboo of questioning academic
mobility and associated carbon emissions. Set in a New Zealand university context it
investigates the perceived lock-in of academic performance being dependent on, or
equal to, international mobility. This can be linked back to the pioneering work of the
late Karl Georg Høyer (Høyer, 2000; Høyer & Næss, 2001). The authors find
academic travel to be embedded in university policy, for example through
international partnerships, the need to present research at international conferences
and recruitment processes. Acknowledging New Zealand’s particular geographical
location, they still recommend that academic institutions consider and address the
carbon emissions related to academic mobility, and to integrate sustainability more
systematically into university (travel) policy.
Another highly mobile group possibly caught in a (socio-cultural) lock-in of flight-
dependent practices is that of the younger generation in many Western countries
taking a gap year. Luzecka (2016) explores ways in which conventions related to
‘appropriate’ gap year destinations are developed, sustained and reproduced.
Numerous social mechanisms were found to facilitate overseas travel in the context of
gap years, including a shared perception of difference and physical distance, which
links personal development to the challenges of distant countries. This paper
highlights the fact that some long-haul destinations are actually easier or cheaper to
travel to than more nearby destinations. Luzecka warns that widening participation in
gap year travel may further the normalization – and psychological lock-in - of long-
haul travel. The length of gap years would make them suitable for slow, and
potentially more sustainable, travel, but for such a sustainable mobility transition, the
socio-cultural forces that shape current gap year practices need to be taken into
account.
12
The two following papers acknowledge the reality of consumers not accepting
responsibility and responding to unsustainable travel mobilities, and seek ways to
influence consumer decision-making through the provision of carbon information
with travel products. Araña and León (2016) experiment with the role of emotions
and time pressure in decision-making, hypothesising that many traveller decisions are
of an experiential nature. In a Spanish social tourism program setting, they carried out
a field experiment in which they manipulate the choice context of travellers, when
deciding where to travel. Travel plans involved different levels of CO2 emissions,
contexts about the emotional state, and decision time. Araña & León find that
emotional states and the decision context can indeed affect the sustainability of travel
choices. These findings have several implications for pro-environmental behaviour
policies and campaigns in tourism and the effectiveness of tax incentives. Subjects
showing more empathy with future generations are more likely to accept low carbon
travel options.
Eijgelaar, Nawijn, Barten, Okuhn & Dijkstra (2016) investigate carbon labels, as a
soft measure towards more sustainable travel choices that is more likely to receive
industry acceptance than direct volume-reducing measures. Their case is linked to the
desire of Dutch tour operators to offer such a label. Hence, they explore preferences
for carbon label design in tourism. The authors tested label designs in a number of
consecutive research phases under Dutch consumers. They find a number of
preconditions for a tourism carbon label: it should be simple in design and connect to
existing well-known EU labels for energy efficiency. But at the same time they note
that sustainability is still of low priority during holiday decision-making.
An interesting case in science-policy interaction is Antarctica, as the continent is not
controlled by a state, but through a 29-party governance regime, the Antarctic Treaty
System (ATS). As little progress was made on tourism issues through the Treaty’s
meetings, the International Association of Antarctica Tour Operators (IAATO) filled
this gap by self-regulating Antarctic tourism. However, their capability to self-
regulate is increasingly questioned. Student, Lamers & Amelung (2016) apply agent-
based modelling (ABM) to identify the challenges for the self-regulation of this
carbon-intensive form of tourism. They find a number of potentially destabilising
factors connected to likely future tourism development, whereby optimum group size
and membership cost are crucial. More importantly, they stress the strength of ABM
as a method to safely experiment with uncertainties in Antarctica, and help to provide
insights for an environmentally optimised application in (sustainable Antarctic
tourism) policy.
The final two papers investigate sustainable transport policy making and practices at
destinations. This local/regional level work reveals key aspects of the realpolitik of
policymaking in ways not open to most researchers at national or international levels.
Scuttari, Volgger & Pechlaner (2016) seek ways for governing the transition towards
more sustainable tourism mobility by applying a system approach. Their research in a
South Tyrolean context indicates that the transition towards more sustainable
transport solutions is complex and requires both public and private sector
unpredictability and risk aversion to be taken into account. Scuttari et al. identify
three conditions relevant to performing the transition, each one linked to a different
13
subsystem (socio-ecological, socio-technical and governance). The transition to
sustainable solutions is a complex task that can only be successful when all sub-
systems - tourism, transport, governance and social-ecological – interact in informal
or formal partnership. To be successful, three conditions were identified: (a) an
improved understanding of what sustainable transport entails, (b) adoption of the best
available technology and (c) courage and leadership to take risks with new solutions
without knowing what they will bring with absolute certainty. The latter means that
science should provide a better understanding of how to mitigate risk aversion or even
better, how to shift the focus of risk aversion towards avoiding the risks of
unsustainable development and climate change, as opposed to the risks associated
with introducing, managing and using novel transport systems.
Finally, Stanford & Guiver (2016) explore public-private partnership led projects
providing alternatives to car travel in three UK National Parks as mechanisms of
modal shift and pro-environmental change. They identify a number of success factors
and provide practical advice on understanding and guiding future multi-partnership
pro-environmental change processes in complex networks. As in the previous paper,
strong local governance structures, awareness creating, trust and learning are
important, and the effective communication of benefits to stakeholders appeared most
significant.
Conclusions and research agenda
This paper has discussed three areas crucial for understanding why, despite clear
scientific evidence about the growing environmental impacts of tourism transport,
there is large-scale inertia in structural transitions and a lack of political willpower to
enact meaningful policy change. These included the importance of addressing socio-
technical factors, the barriers posed by placing faith in ‘technology myths’ and the
need to overcome ‘transport taboos’ in policymaking. These areas shed significant
light on why a science-policy gap in sustainable mobility exists, and on the issues that
must be overcome if this gap is to be bridged. The societal challenge of transitioning
the tourism and transport sectors to a sustainable emissions path must not be devolved
entirely to the public and the marketplace, as suggested by neoliberal values. It is vital
that both governments and the tourism and transport industries take a more cautious
approach to the technological optimism that is fostering policy inertia: technological
innovation alone will not save the day anytime soon. They must invest more in
research, in operational procedures and in encouraging the development of and
marketing alternatives to air travel. But most importantly, policymakers must take a
more open approach to implementing sustainable transport policies that affect the
structures of provision; they will need to be lobbied to touch issues that may be
politically risky, but nonetheless have been shown in other contexts to be successful
in fostering desirable sustainable transport outcomes.
Building on these insights, the Freiburg 2016 workshop will consequently focus on
desirable transport futures, that is, visions of desirable sustainable transport systems
that have the potential to be actively taken up by wide cross-sections of society (c.f.
Banister & Hickman, 2013). A starting point for this is the analysis of sustainable
14
transport transitions that are now underway, and the analysis of the structural,
political, institutional and social/psychological factors underlying those transitions.
The e-bike revolution is one example of societal change involving a low-carbon
technological innovation, with uptake and adoption motivated by convenience, speed,
health and cost. Many cities in Europe have re-discovered the bicycle as a transport
mode with diverse benefits, and there now exists widespread and growing demand for
infrastructures that facilitate cycling and other active forms of transport (Gössling &
Choi, 2015; Pucher & Buehler, 2012). Cycling cities have become a desirable
transport future but the health and cost benefits of cycling demand that issues of
cyclist safety are addressed in infrastructural provision. The rise of car sharing
systems, in place of car ownership, is another timely example of a mobility transition,
but is not without rebound effects, as the media suggests that it has cannibalisation
effects at the expense of public transport (Schwarz, 2015).
In contrast to desirable futures, while flying is highly desirable for many, continued
growth in air travel on a global scale is incompatible with a sustainable transport
future, and it is here that the need for urgent transition is now widely accepted.
However, before entertaining alternatives to the current unsustainable transport
system, it is essential to know what desirable transport futures may look like. The
critical analysis of mobility transitions, including barriers confronting the
achievement of desirable transport futures, is needed. A concerted research effort in
the following key areas is consequently required:
Desired transport. Future visions must be built upon desired transport systems.
Critical examination is needed of spontaneous market uptake of desired new transport
systems and their rebound effects. How have e-bike, car sharing, high-speed rail and
successful public transport systems emerged in certain societies? What factors have
acted as facilitators of change and how were barriers overcome? How important are
individuals, i.e. specific people, in initiating change? What were the key roles of
stakeholders and were low carbon transitions an objective from the outset or a
coincidental outcome? What lessons can be learned from these revolutions and what
wider roles may such successes play in developing towards low carbon transport and
tourism?
The role of fashion. Many trends in tourism and travel are fashion driven. Certain
destinations can rise and fall substantially in a very short time. In the Netherlands
long-haul travel grew rapidly until 2008 when it stabilised and started to decline.
What factors influence significant changes in established patterns of consumption?
Why has ‘environmental consciousness’, with the exception of European car
purchasing, proved largely ineffective in driving low carbon transport transitions?
What potential do social marketing, celebrity endorsement and role model advocacy
offer, and how can the effectiveness of these strategies be maximised? What other
strategies may exist to influence and encourage the fashionability of more sustainable
forms of tourism (e.g., caravanning, train journeys, ‘loca-tourism’, slow tourism and
staycationing)? How can industry, government, the media and public organisations
engage in such processes, and what in particular is the role of science and
researchers?
15
Economic issues. The economic arguments for growth in aviation are well
established, even though many assessments appear to remain partial. But what are the
economic arguments that support the development of sustainable transport systems?
What economic growth scenarios may be associated with low carbon transitions to
rail and electric vehicle fleets, and the new infrastructures required to facilitate active
transport modes? What do economic models predict for the redistribution of travel
flows under low carbon transport scenarios? Contributions to a more complete
understanding of the economics of low carbon transport scenarios are critically
important to the shift toward desired transport futures.
Public health and wellbeing. Critical issues arise when contemplating how the
sustainable transportation agenda is coupled with questions of public health and
wellbeing. Policy outcomes driven by a public health and wellbeing agenda may have
the potential for achieving significant environmental benefits. What potential do
desirable transport futures offer to overcome personal wellbeing and public health
risks, such as the negative health dimensions of frequent flying (Cohen & Gössling,
2015), or the risk of pandemic associated with long-haul flights? And where mobility
transitions are already in progress, can, for instance, the rising public health costs of
serious injuries and deaths of cyclists be mitigated by dedicated cycle infrastructure?
Issues of equity and ethics. There is a need to move beyond the Eurocentrism (c.f.
Cohen & Cohen, 2015) that has framed debate around these issues. While the West
has contributed disproportionately to the environmental crisis, emissions of
unsustainable transportation are globally dispersed. Insights that are theoretically,
methodologically and practically informed are required to understand sustainable
transportation issues as they apply to emerging world regions (e.g. Dillimono &
Dickinson, 2015 on Nigerian perspectives). Growth from the middle classes in parts
of Asia, Latin America, South America and Africa is also driving up global transport
emissions. What equity issues arise in association with the transition from old to new
transport systems? What ethical issues arise with the growth of unsustainable
transportation in less developed countries? How will the continuing but declining
emission footprint be distributed between countries and sectors globally? What will
be the impacts of emission trading, taxation regimes, subsidies and infrastructure
planning, and how will they vary between regions in light of the recent Paris
Agreement?
Advocacy- and participatory-based approaches. The need exists for advocacy- and
participatory-based approaches (see Bramwell, Higham, Lane & Miller, 2016; Hall,
2016) to enable more effective communication with policy communities, and to
facilitate collaboration and co-production with policymakers and other upstream
stakeholders. What opportunities exist to implement new or underutilised methods
such as simulation, serious gaming and in-depth multi-stakeholder approaches? What
potential do new approaches offer to communicate the science of climate change, and
internalise the challenges inherent in responding to climate change? How can new
approaches serve to highlight the contribution of travel in global GHG emissions, the
inherent difficulties in responding to unsustainable transportation, and potential
pathways to desirable transport futures? These key areas form the basis for a
16
continued research agenda aimed at transitioning the tourism and transport sectors to
a sustainable emissions path.
Acknowledgements
The convenors of the Freiburg 2014 workshop (1-4 July 2014) gratefully
acknowledge the members of its Scientific Advisory Board, all of whom contributed
to the success of the workshop: Dr Stewart Barr (University of Exeter, UK), Dr Jo
Guiver (University of Central Lancashire, UK), Professor Michael Hall (University of
Canterbury, NZ), Dr Julia Hibbert (Bournemouth University, UK), Professor Daniel
Scott (University of Waterloo, Canada) and Professor David Banister (TSI, University
of Oxford, UK).
Note
1. Announcement: Freiburg 2016
Third biennial workshop 28 June - 1 July 2016:
The third biennial Freiburg workshop will take place on 28 June – 1 July 2016 in
Kirchzarten, less than 10 kilometres from Freiburg im Breisgau, the gateway to
the German Black Forest. Freiburg, a sustainable transportation showcase, is
centrally located within Europe and readily accessed from across Europe by rail.
Building upon the psychological and behavioural approaches to understanding
sustainable mobility explored in Freiburg 2012, and the focus on bridging the
science-policy gap in sustainable mobility in Freiburg 2014, the third biennial
workshop will expand and address Desirable Transport Futures. For further
information, please go to http://www.cstt.nl/freiburg2016 and/or contact
[email protected].
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